Markets now see a December rate cut as more likely than a pause, reflecting how quickly expectations can shift. If the Fed cuts rates in mid-December, it will push today’s savings and CD yields lower.

Traders are now fully pricing in a rate cut in September after the latest labor report came in cooler than expected. The odds of a 50 basis points rate cut in the month rose to 11.7%, according to CME ...

CME Group stock is in the doldrums. Shares of the exchange operator—whose FedWatch tool tracks the probabilities of future Federal Reserve interest-rate changes—have fallen 5.4% over the past eight ...

On Thanksgiving holiday week, the S&P 500 rose 1.7% from its previous week's close, reaching 6,849.09 by the close of trading on Friday, 28 November 2025. In 2026, the FedWatch tool gives better than ...