We compare how logit (fixed effects) and probit early warning systems (EWS) predict insample and out-of-sample currency crises in emerging markets (EMs). We look at episodes of currency crises that ...

Demographers and other social scientists often study effect heterogeneity (defined here as differences in out come–predictor associations across groups defined by the values of a third variable) to ...

I propose a Lagrange multiplier test for the multinomial logit model against the dogit model (Gaudry and Dagenais 1979) as the alternative hypothesis. In view of the well-known drawback of the ...