Asteroid 2024 YR4 no longer poses significant threat to Earth in 2032, NASA's latest analysis determines
The 2024 YR4 asteroid, which is nearly the size of a football field, now has roughly a 0.004% chance of hitting Earth in about eight years, according to the space agency's latest calculations. The Center for Near-Earth Object Studies previously projected a 3% chance of the asteroid striking our planet before lowering the chance to 0.28% last week.
Asteroid has a very small chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but a collision could devastate a city
In December 2024, astronomers in Chile spotted a new asteroid streaking through the sky, which they named 2024 YR4. What's significant about this 100m-wide space rock is that it has a small chance of hitting Earth in 2032.
There’s still a 1.7 percent chance that asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit the moon on Dec. 22, 2032, according to NASA.
At one point, the odds of a strike in 2032 were as high as about 3% and topped the world’s asteroid-risk lists.
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