Over the weekend, Donald Trump hit yet another all-time approval rating low of net -23.5. As of today, he bounced back slightly to -21.9. That’s in large part due to a new poll from TIPP insights ...

Democrats’ surge in the polls that started in early September still hasn’t stopped. As of today, they’re up to D +8.9 on the generic congressional ballot. That’s a high point for the party this cycle.

Systematic polling errors are common. Polls might be biased against Republicans again. Or against Democrats. Predicting which ...

Pop quiz. Which Senate seat are Democrats more likely to flip: Ohio or Maine? This might seem like an easy question. In 2024, Kamala Harris won the Pine Tree State by 7 points, but lost the Buckeye ...

Silver Bulletin Subscriber Questions (SBSQ) has been dormant since April. This wasn’t really planned, exactly. SBSQ is a popular feature. But it’s time to reboot SBSQ. Please leave questions for SBSQ ...

Democrats have an increasingly large lead in the polls — and in FLIPR. But history says that shouldn’t be surprising.

So if you take the polls at face value, we’re seeing a blue wave that’s … overwhelmingly concentrated in red states. As I wrote, there’s a coherent story behind it. And the evidence for it has been ...

One thing I’ll remember about this primary season is the continuous stream of broken fundraising records. First, Texas gave us the most expensive Senate primary in US history, with over $122 million ...