For the first time all cycle, Republicans now need to win more of our Toss-ups to hold the Senate than Democrats need to win in order to flip it.

Venue: Center for Politics at UVA 655 Leonard Sandridge Road, Charlottesville, VA 22901 You are invited to participate in this Ambassador Series event with His Excellency Youssef Amrani, Ambassador of ...

— In November, 39 states will have at least one measure on the ballot for voters to consider, and many have multiple measures. — The top issues this year will include elections and redistricting, ...

HOUSE: 213 at least Leans D, 202 at least Leans R, 20 Toss-ups. See ratings. SENATE: 48 at least Leans D, 47 at least Leans R, 5 Toss-ups. See ratings. GOVERNORS: 24 at least Leans D, 22 at least ...

HOUSE: 210 at least Leans D, 203 at least Leans R, 22 Toss-ups. See ratings. SENATE: 48 at least Leans R, 47 at least Leans D, 5 Toss-ups. See ratings. GOVERNORS: 24 at least leaning to each party, 2 ...

— The key districts in the battle for the House fit into a half-dozen regions scattered across the nation. — What follows is a path toward what Democrats need to do (or Republicans need to prevent) in ...

— This year, 26 states will hold elections for secretary of state. Currently, the GOP holds 25 secretary of state offices to 22 for the Democrats. Three states do not have a secretary of state. — Our ...

— The growing connection between presidential and Senate results has given Republicans a structural advantage in Senate elections. — That advantage is particularly pronounced in Senate Class 2, the ...

— The open Texas Senate race moves to Toss-up, as state Rep. James Talarico (D) leads in polls more often than not against state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), who will need a rescue operation from ...

— Last week, Abdul El-Sayed captured the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan over Rep. Haley Stevens (D, MI-11). — That El-Sayed narrowly won the nomination running as a progressive was one ...

— While Kamala Harris generally leads 2028 national primary polls, she trails several potential opponents in New Hampshire and has even been behind in her home state of California. — Although defeated ...

— We’re revamping our House ratings this week, which has the effect of bringing the number of seats at least leaning to each party to rough parity after redistricting helped Republicans build an edge ...